"A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen"
About this Quote
The subtext is classic Churchillian realism, seasoned with self-awareness. He’d spent a career being both right early (warning about Hitler) and wrong loudly (Gallipoli), which makes the punchline sting with lived authority. He’s not outside the game throwing stones; he’s admitting the rules. Politics is an arena where uncertainty is unavoidable, yet certainty is demanded. Voters, newspapers, Parliament - all of them want the assurance of prediction, even when events (war, markets, alliances) refuse to behave. So the politician sells confidence today and purchases explanations tomorrow.
Context matters: Churchill governed in the age of world wars and imperial contraction, when “next year” could be rewritten by a single telegram. His wit functions as a pressure valve against the moral theater of leadership. By mocking the expectation of omniscience, he also protects decision-making from the fantasy of perfect foresight. The cynicism is surgical, not nihilistic: he’s warning that charisma and rhetoric can launder failure into plausibility, and that a public addicted to predictions helps create the very evasions it despises.
Quote Details
| Topic | Leadership |
|---|---|
| Source | Later attribution: The Very Best of Winston Churchill (Simon Paige, 2014) modern compilation
Evidence: ... A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow , next week , next month , and next year . And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen . " * " The inherent vice of capitalism is the ... Other candidates (2) Winston Churchill (Winston Churchill) compilation90.6% 13 may 1901 hansard vol 93 col 1572 the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow next week next month and... The crisis (Churchill, Winston, 1871-1947, Barnes..., 1924) primary34.5% appointed at finding the stranger i only came to say that i 25 am going to have a birthday party in a few weeks you m... |
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Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Churchill, Winston. (2026, February 7). A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/a-politician-needs-the-ability-to-foretell-what-25068/
Chicago Style
Churchill, Winston. "A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen." FixQuotes. February 7, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/a-politician-needs-the-ability-to-foretell-what-25068/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"A politician needs the ability to foretell what is going to happen tomorrow, next week, next month, and next year. And to have the ability afterwards to explain why it didn't happen." FixQuotes, 7 Feb. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/a-politician-needs-the-ability-to-foretell-what-25068/. Accessed 22 Feb. 2026.








