"A theory has only the alternative of being right or wrong. A model has a third possibility: it may be right, but irrelevant"
About this Quote
The third possibility - “right, but irrelevant” - is where modern technoscience quietly goes to die. Think of a climate model that captures global averages while missing regional extremes people actually experience, or a beautifully fitted biological model that ignores the one interaction that drives disease progression. Eigen’s subtext is a warning against mistaking fit for insight, precision for significance. A model can be “right” in the narrow sense (internally consistent, empirically adequate on the training set, faithful to an idealized slice of the phenomenon) yet irrelevant to the decision, mechanism, or scale that matters.
Context matters: Eigen helped found molecular evolution and worked in fields where complexity is the rule and simplification is unavoidable. In that world, the central intellectual virtue isn’t just being correct; it’s choosing what to be wrong about. His line pushes for humility with a spine: don’t celebrate a model until you can name the question it answers - and the questions it quietly refuses.
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Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Eigen, Manfred. (2026, January 15). A theory has only the alternative of being right or wrong. A model has a third possibility: it may be right, but irrelevant. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/a-theory-has-only-the-alternative-of-being-right-87477/
Chicago Style
Eigen, Manfred. "A theory has only the alternative of being right or wrong. A model has a third possibility: it may be right, but irrelevant." FixQuotes. January 15, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/a-theory-has-only-the-alternative-of-being-right-87477/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"A theory has only the alternative of being right or wrong. A model has a third possibility: it may be right, but irrelevant." FixQuotes, 15 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/a-theory-has-only-the-alternative-of-being-right-87477/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.










