"Adventure upon all the tickets in the lottery, and you lose for certain; and the greater the number of your tickets the nearer your approach to this certainty"
About this Quote
The apparent paradox - more tickets, closer to certainty of losing - is doing rhetorical work. Smith isn’t claiming each additional ticket lowers expected winnings in some crude way. He’s pointing at expectation versus outcome. Your expected return might be calculable, but your lived experience is loss, repeated and reinforced. Buy enough chances in a negative-sum game and you all but guarantee you’ll encounter loss, often enough to feel like a law of nature. Quantity creates the illusion of control while deepening exposure to a rigged payoff structure.
Context matters: The Wealth of Nations is as much a psychology of markets as a treatise on them. Smith is arguing against the glamour of “projects,” speculative schemes, and the credulity that bubbles feed on. The subtext is about rational capitalism’s enemy inside the house: the investor who confuses probability with promise. It’s a warning that feels modern because it is - swaps and meme stocks are just better-dressed tickets.
Quote Details
| Topic | Wisdom |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Smith, Adam. (2026, January 14). Adventure upon all the tickets in the lottery, and you lose for certain; and the greater the number of your tickets the nearer your approach to this certainty. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/adventure-upon-all-the-tickets-in-the-lottery-and-29519/
Chicago Style
Smith, Adam. "Adventure upon all the tickets in the lottery, and you lose for certain; and the greater the number of your tickets the nearer your approach to this certainty." FixQuotes. January 14, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/adventure-upon-all-the-tickets-in-the-lottery-and-29519/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"Adventure upon all the tickets in the lottery, and you lose for certain; and the greater the number of your tickets the nearer your approach to this certainty." FixQuotes, 14 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/adventure-upon-all-the-tickets-in-the-lottery-and-29519/. Accessed 22 Feb. 2026.











