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Daily Inspiration Quote by Will Rogers

"An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's"

About this Quote

Will Rogers lands the punch by treating expertise like weather chatter: everyone has a forecast, and the sky does what it wants. "An economist's guess" collapses the prestige of the profession into the plain, slightly embarrassing noun guess, then twists the knife with "as good as anybody else's" - not even "most people's", but anybody. The line works because it sounds folksy, almost generous, while quietly stripping economists of their claim to special authority.

The intent is less anti-intellectual than anti-pretension. Rogers isn't arguing that economics is useless; he's pointing out how often it performs certainty in public while operating under the same constraints as the rest of us: incomplete information, shifting incentives, human irrationality. The subtext is a defense of ordinary judgment against credentialed confidence, a theme that plays especially well coming from an actor-comic whose own job is to read crowds and call bluff.

Context matters. Rogers lived through the boom-and-bust volatility of the 1920s into the Great Depression, when expert assurances repeatedly failed to match lived reality. In that era, "economist" could sound like a priesthood explaining a crisis it didn't prevent. His joke becomes a small act of democratic equalization: if the experts can't reliably predict, they don't get to monopolize the conversation.

Culturally, it still bites because it names a familiar dynamic: the public doesn't resent complexity; it resents overconfident storytelling. Rogers offers a corrective in a single sentence - skepticism as common sense, delivered with a grin sharp enough to draw blood.

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TopicWitty One-Liners
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APA Style (7th ed.)
Rogers, Will. (2026, January 18). An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/an-economists-guess-is-liable-to-be-as-good-as-2341/

Chicago Style
Rogers, Will. "An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's." FixQuotes. January 18, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/an-economists-guess-is-liable-to-be-as-good-as-2341/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's." FixQuotes, 18 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/an-economists-guess-is-liable-to-be-as-good-as-2341/. Accessed 5 Feb. 2026.

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Will Rogers

Will Rogers (November 4, 1879 - August 15, 1935) was a Actor from USA.

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