"An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's"
About this Quote
The intent is less anti-intellectual than anti-pretension. Rogers isn't arguing that economics is useless; he's pointing out how often it performs certainty in public while operating under the same constraints as the rest of us: incomplete information, shifting incentives, human irrationality. The subtext is a defense of ordinary judgment against credentialed confidence, a theme that plays especially well coming from an actor-comic whose own job is to read crowds and call bluff.
Context matters. Rogers lived through the boom-and-bust volatility of the 1920s into the Great Depression, when expert assurances repeatedly failed to match lived reality. In that era, "economist" could sound like a priesthood explaining a crisis it didn't prevent. His joke becomes a small act of democratic equalization: if the experts can't reliably predict, they don't get to monopolize the conversation.
Culturally, it still bites because it names a familiar dynamic: the public doesn't resent complexity; it resents overconfident storytelling. Rogers offers a corrective in a single sentence - skepticism as common sense, delivered with a grin sharp enough to draw blood.
Quote Details
| Topic | Witty One-Liners |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Rogers, Will. (2026, January 18). An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/an-economists-guess-is-liable-to-be-as-good-as-2341/
Chicago Style
Rogers, Will. "An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's." FixQuotes. January 18, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/an-economists-guess-is-liable-to-be-as-good-as-2341/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"An economist's guess is liable to be as good as anybody else's." FixQuotes, 18 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/an-economists-guess-is-liable-to-be-as-good-as-2341/. Accessed 5 Feb. 2026.




