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Politics & Power Quote by George Wald

"As far as I know, the most conservative estimates of the number of Americans who would be killed in a major nuclear attack, with everything working as well as can be hoped and all foreseeable precautions taken, run to about fifty million"

About this Quote

Fifty million lands with the dead weight of a statistic that refuses to behave like one. George Wald doesn’t dress the number up in apocalypse imagery; he does something colder and more devastating: he frames it as the best-case scenario. “Most conservative estimates” and “as far as I know” are the language of the lab, a scientist’s ethical posture of caution and verifiability. Then he twists that posture into indictment. Even with “everything working as well as can be hoped” and “all foreseeable precautions taken,” the toll is still mass death on a scale that vaporizes the usual comforts of policy debate.

The subtext is a direct assault on the managerial fantasy that nuclear war can be planned for, mitigated, or “handled” through civil defense, readiness systems, or competent governance. Wald is puncturing the era’s reassuring bureaucratic rhetoric - the idea that survival is a matter of proper procedures and well-funded precautions. By specifying competence and preparation, he removes the easiest scapegoat. If the catastrophe happens even when the grown-ups do everything right, then the real problem isn’t execution; it’s the premise.

Context matters: Wald, a Nobel-winning biologist turned prominent anti-nuclear voice during the Cold War, is speaking from inside the establishment that helped build the modern scientific state. That insider status gives the sentence its bite. This isn’t protest poetry; it’s risk assessment used as moral leverage. The point isn’t just that nuclear weapons are terrifying. It’s that the “responsible” conversation about them is structurally dishonest, because its baseline assumes a survivable outcome that his numbers refuse to grant.

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TopicWar
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APA Style (7th ed.)
Wald, George. (2026, January 17). As far as I know, the most conservative estimates of the number of Americans who would be killed in a major nuclear attack, with everything working as well as can be hoped and all foreseeable precautions taken, run to about fifty million. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/as-far-as-i-know-the-most-conservative-estimates-54047/

Chicago Style
Wald, George. "As far as I know, the most conservative estimates of the number of Americans who would be killed in a major nuclear attack, with everything working as well as can be hoped and all foreseeable precautions taken, run to about fifty million." FixQuotes. January 17, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/as-far-as-i-know-the-most-conservative-estimates-54047/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"As far as I know, the most conservative estimates of the number of Americans who would be killed in a major nuclear attack, with everything working as well as can be hoped and all foreseeable precautions taken, run to about fifty million." FixQuotes, 17 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/as-far-as-i-know-the-most-conservative-estimates-54047/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.

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George Wald (November 18, 1906 - April 12, 1997) was a Scientist from USA.

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