"Complex, statistically improbable things are by their nature more difficult to explain than simple, statistically probable things"
About this Quote
The subtext is a rebuke to two audiences at once. To creationists (his frequent foil), it undercuts the rhetorical trick of calling complexity “mysterious” and smuggling in a designer as the simplest answer. To sloppy popular science, it’s a warning against the seduction of “just-so” narratives that make the improbable feel inevitable. Dawkins wants to normalize explanatory labor: long chains of causes, deep time, and iterative processes that don’t fit on a bumper sticker.
Context matters: Dawkins’ broader project, from The Selfish Gene to The Blind Watchmaker, is to show how natural selection converts improbability into apparent inevitability without magic. This line works because it reframes the emotional discomfort we feel when an account gets technical or conditional. If the target is truly complex, you should expect complexity in the explanation. Anything else is comfort literature dressed as insight.
Quote Details
| Topic | Reason & Logic |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Dawkins, Richard. (2026, January 18). Complex, statistically improbable things are by their nature more difficult to explain than simple, statistically probable things. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/complex-statistically-improbable-things-are-by-1374/
Chicago Style
Dawkins, Richard. "Complex, statistically improbable things are by their nature more difficult to explain than simple, statistically probable things." FixQuotes. January 18, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/complex-statistically-improbable-things-are-by-1374/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"Complex, statistically improbable things are by their nature more difficult to explain than simple, statistically probable things." FixQuotes, 18 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/complex-statistically-improbable-things-are-by-1374/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.








