"Deterrence itself is not a preeminent value; the primary values are safety and morality"
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Kahn is yanking the reader away from the cold comfort of strategy-as-scorekeeping. In the nuclear age, “deterrence” can start to feel like a moral achievement in itself: you build the credible threat, you stabilize the board, you declare the world “managed.” His line punctures that technocratic self-congratulation. Deterrence is a tool, not a shrine. Treat it as a “preeminent value” and you risk sanctifying the very machinery of catastrophe.
The phrasing is doing double work. “Safety” is the realist anchor: outcomes, survival, the unglamorous business of keeping cities intact. “Morality” is the restraint that many security planners quietly demote once the war-gaming begins. Kahn’s subtext is that deterrence can produce perverse incentives: it can justify arms races, normalize hair-trigger postures, and encourage leaders to confuse psychological credibility with actual security. A deterrent that’s impressive on paper but raises the odds of accident, miscalculation, or escalation fails the safety test. A deterrent that depends on targeting civilians or rehearsing disproportionate retaliation fails the morality test.
Context matters because Kahn helped build the very language of escalation ladders and “thinking about the unthinkable.” This reads less like a pacifist rebuke than an insider’s warning: the strategic intellect can drift into self-referential elegance, optimizing threats for their own sake. He’s insisting that the scoreboard is not the game. The game is whether human beings live, and whether the means of keeping them alive corrodes the ethical core a society claims to defend.
The phrasing is doing double work. “Safety” is the realist anchor: outcomes, survival, the unglamorous business of keeping cities intact. “Morality” is the restraint that many security planners quietly demote once the war-gaming begins. Kahn’s subtext is that deterrence can produce perverse incentives: it can justify arms races, normalize hair-trigger postures, and encourage leaders to confuse psychological credibility with actual security. A deterrent that’s impressive on paper but raises the odds of accident, miscalculation, or escalation fails the safety test. A deterrent that depends on targeting civilians or rehearsing disproportionate retaliation fails the morality test.
Context matters because Kahn helped build the very language of escalation ladders and “thinking about the unthinkable.” This reads less like a pacifist rebuke than an insider’s warning: the strategic intellect can drift into self-referential elegance, optimizing threats for their own sake. He’s insisting that the scoreboard is not the game. The game is whether human beings live, and whether the means of keeping them alive corrodes the ethical core a society claims to defend.
Quote Details
| Topic | Ethics & Morality |
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