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Daily Inspiration Quote by Tom Stoppard

"From principles is derived probability, but truth or certainty is obtained only from facts"

About this Quote

Stoppard is needling the kind of cleverness that can win an argument without ever touching reality. “Principles” sound noble, even bracing: moral axioms, ideological commitments, the tidy rules we carry around like pocket constitutions. They generate “probability” because they’re good at producing forecasts, narratives, and justifications. Give someone a principle and they can extrapolate an entire world from it. The catch is in the gradient Stoppard draws: probability isn’t truth, it’s a well-dressed guess.

The line lands because it smuggles a dramatist’s bias into an epistemological claim. Theatre is built on premises - a setup, a worldview, a character’s code - but it cashes out in particulars: the look on someone’s face, the incriminating letter, the body on the floor. Stoppard’s work repeatedly stages the collision between elegant systems and stubborn evidence, whether that’s the slipperiness of history, the seductions of philosophy, or the way intelligence can become a form of self-deception. The subtext is a warning to the brilliant: your framework may be internally consistent and still wrong.

There’s a political edge, too. Principles are how societies justify what they already want to do; facts are the inconvenient audit. Stoppard isn’t dismissing principles as useless - probability matters in science, law, and daily life. He’s insisting on a hierarchy: principles can orient you, but they can’t certify you. Certainty is earned the hard way, by contact with the world.

Quote Details

TopicTruth
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APA Style (7th ed.)
Stoppard, Tom. (2026, January 17). From principles is derived probability, but truth or certainty is obtained only from facts. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/from-principles-is-derived-probability-but-truth-27677/

Chicago Style
Stoppard, Tom. "From principles is derived probability, but truth or certainty is obtained only from facts." FixQuotes. January 17, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/from-principles-is-derived-probability-but-truth-27677/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"From principles is derived probability, but truth or certainty is obtained only from facts." FixQuotes, 17 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/from-principles-is-derived-probability-but-truth-27677/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.

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About the Author

Tom Stoppard

Tom Stoppard (July 3, 1937 - November 29, 2025) was a Dramatist from England.

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