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Daily Inspiration Quote by Will Durant

"History is mostly guessing; the rest is prejudice"

About this Quote

History, in Durant's hands, is less a marble monument than a foggy crime scene. "Mostly guessing" is a deliberately deflationary jab at the heroic image of the historian as a neutral archivist. Even with mountains of sources, most of what we want to know is missing: motives, private conversations, unwritten bargains, the everyday texture of life. The record is patchy, curated by winners, and distorted by survival bias. So the historian fills gaps with inference, analogy, and narrative sense-making - educated guesswork dressed in footnotes.

Then comes the sharper twist: "the rest is prejudice". Durant isn't claiming historians are uniquely corrupt; he's indicting the human machinery that selects and shapes facts. Prejudice here isn't only bigotry. It's the whole bundle of prior commitments that sneaks into every history: nationalism, class assumptions, moralizing about "progress", a taste for great men over systems, a preference for tidy causality over messy contingency. Even deciding what's "important" is an act of valuation.

The line lands because it weaponizes cynicism without collapsing into nihilism. Durant, writing in a century scarred by world wars and propaganda, knew that history had become a political instrument and a cultural mirror. His provocation forces the reader to treat historical narratives as arguments, not transcripts: to ask what had to be ignored for the story to flow, whose voices were unavailable, and which prejudices are being smuggled in as common sense.

Quote Details

TopicTruth
Source
Later attribution: Embracing History's Lessons (Jay R. Allgood, 2004) modern compilationISBN: 9781888106688 · ID: S0Hz5YghmSkC
Text match: 95.00%   Provider: Google Books
Evidence:
... Will Durant said , " History is mostly guessing , the rest is prejudice . " Soon thereafter he and his wife published their book , Lessons of History ; Durant also admitted . " History repeats itself , but only in the large . " J. M. ...
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Citation Formats

APA Style (7th ed.)
Durant, Will. (2026, March 22). History is mostly guessing; the rest is prejudice. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/history-is-mostly-guessing-the-rest-is-prejudice-111201/

Chicago Style
Durant, Will. "History is mostly guessing; the rest is prejudice." FixQuotes. March 22, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/history-is-mostly-guessing-the-rest-is-prejudice-111201/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"History is mostly guessing; the rest is prejudice." FixQuotes, 22 Mar. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/history-is-mostly-guessing-the-rest-is-prejudice-111201/. Accessed 24 Mar. 2026.

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Will Durant on History: Guessing and Prejudice
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About the Author

Will Durant

Will Durant (November 5, 1885 - November 7, 1981) was a Historian from USA.

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