"However, the models also predict unambiguously that the atmosphere is warming faster than the surface of the earth; but all the available observational data unambiguously shows the opposite!"
About this Quote
The subtext is rhetorical jiu-jitsu. “The atmosphere is warming faster than the surface” invokes a real expectation from greenhouse-driven warming: enhanced warming in the troposphere relative to the surface. But Douglass leverages a historically thorny issue: early satellite and radiosonde records did appear to show less tropospheric warming than models projected. In the 1990s and early 2000s, that mismatch became a favored wedge for contrarians, not because it toppled greenhouse physics, but because it was legible to non-experts as a scoreboard.
Context matters: those “available observational data” were not static. Subsequent reanalyses and corrections (orbital decay, instrument drift, changing radiosonde practices) narrowed much of the discrepancy, and model-observation comparisons became more nuanced (region, altitude band, time window). Douglass’s phrasing freezes a moving scientific debate into a definitive indictment. It’s less a physicist’s cautious claim than a polemical one: elevate a specific technical tension into a general verdict on climate modeling, and do it with the language of certainty.
Quote Details
| Topic | Science |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Douglass, David. (2026, January 17). However, the models also predict unambiguously that the atmosphere is warming faster than the surface of the earth; but all the available observational data unambiguously shows the opposite! FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/however-the-models-also-predict-unambiguously-47646/
Chicago Style
Douglass, David. "However, the models also predict unambiguously that the atmosphere is warming faster than the surface of the earth; but all the available observational data unambiguously shows the opposite!" FixQuotes. January 17, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/however-the-models-also-predict-unambiguously-47646/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"However, the models also predict unambiguously that the atmosphere is warming faster than the surface of the earth; but all the available observational data unambiguously shows the opposite!" FixQuotes, 17 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/however-the-models-also-predict-unambiguously-47646/. Accessed 13 Feb. 2026.



