"I shall go further and say that even if an examination of the past could lead to any valid prediction concerning man's future, that prediction would be the contrary of reassuring"
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Benda doesn’t offer a warning so much as a refusal to participate in the modern comfort industry. The line is built to puncture two faiths at once: the positivist belief that history can be mined like data for reliable forecasts, and the liberal hope that such knowledge, if it existed, would naturally vindicate progress. He “shall go further” like a prosecutor escalating the charge: not only is prediction from the past dubious; if it were possible, the honest forecast would be grim.
The subtext is a rebuke to the early-20th-century cult of inevitability, the idea that civilization is on an upward track because it has been before. Writing in the shadow of mass politics, mechanized war, and the betrayal of intellectuals to nationalist passions (a theme Benda famously hammered), he treats “man’s future” less as a technical problem than as a moral one. The engine of repetition isn’t ignorance; it’s vanity, tribalism, and the ease with which reason gets conscripted.
Rhetorically, the sentence works by denying the reader every exit. It grants the skeptical premise (“even if” prediction were valid) only to reverse the emotional payoff. That inversion is the point: we don’t consult the past to learn, we consult it to be soothed. Benda won’t soothe. He implies that the record of human behavior, stripped of patriotic myth and intellectual alibis, doesn’t justify reassurance - it indicts our appetite for it.
The subtext is a rebuke to the early-20th-century cult of inevitability, the idea that civilization is on an upward track because it has been before. Writing in the shadow of mass politics, mechanized war, and the betrayal of intellectuals to nationalist passions (a theme Benda famously hammered), he treats “man’s future” less as a technical problem than as a moral one. The engine of repetition isn’t ignorance; it’s vanity, tribalism, and the ease with which reason gets conscripted.
Rhetorically, the sentence works by denying the reader every exit. It grants the skeptical premise (“even if” prediction were valid) only to reverse the emotional payoff. That inversion is the point: we don’t consult the past to learn, we consult it to be soothed. Benda won’t soothe. He implies that the record of human behavior, stripped of patriotic myth and intellectual alibis, doesn’t justify reassurance - it indicts our appetite for it.
Quote Details
| Topic | Free Will & Fate |
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