"If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong"
About this Quote
The line works because it relocates virtue. In most moral economies, being wrong is failure. Baruch treats being wrong as the default condition of speculation, then makes the real sin something else entirely: lingering. “Cut his losses quickly” is where the quote tightens its grip. It’s not advice about picking better stocks; it’s a diagnosis of human weakness. We don’t go broke because we’re wrong, he implies. We go broke because we can’t admit it fast enough, and we keep paying tuition to our pride.
Context matters. Baruch made his name in the early 20th century’s boom-and-bust machine, when fortunes were minted amid thin regulation, manic crowds, and sudden panics. In that era, surviving was a strategy, not a platitude. His rule anticipates modern risk management: asymmetry is everything. If losses are capped and gains are allowed to run, the math can forgive mediocrity. It’s a capitalist koan with sharp elbows: accept fallibility, weaponize restraint, and let the market reward the rare moment you’re right.
Quote Details
| Topic | Investment |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Baruch, Bernard. (2026, January 17). If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-a-speculator-is-correct-half-of-the-time-he-is-41676/
Chicago Style
Baruch, Bernard. "If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong." FixQuotes. January 17, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-a-speculator-is-correct-half-of-the-time-he-is-41676/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong." FixQuotes, 17 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-a-speculator-is-correct-half-of-the-time-he-is-41676/. Accessed 25 Feb. 2026.











