"If each of your time steps is one week long, you are not modeling the stock price terribly well over a one-week time period, because you are saying that there are only two possible outcomes"
About this Quote
The specific intent is methodological discipline. Hull is warning students and practitioners that time discretization is not just a technical detail; it’s a claim about uncertainty. Coarse steps erase path-dependence, volatility clustering, jumps, and the intraperiod whipsaws that matter for hedging and risk. A weekly binomial step doesn’t merely approximate badly; it changes the question from “What distribution of outcomes is plausible?” to “Which of two fates will occur?” - a narrowing that can make a model feel stable while quietly making it brittle.
The subtext is also institutional. Finance loves models that are computable, teachable, and easy to explain to committees. Hull, the professor-as-adult-in-the-room, reminds you that elegance can be a trap: the model’s clarity is purchased by amputating the market’s degrees of freedom.
Contextually, this sits inside the standard progression from binomial trees to continuous-time limits (Black-Scholes and beyond). The point isn’t “binomial is wrong”; it’s that resolution matters. If you want to speak about a week, you can’t model the week as a coin flip.
Quote Details
| Topic | Investment |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Hull, John C. (2026, January 16). If each of your time steps is one week long, you are not modeling the stock price terribly well over a one-week time period, because you are saying that there are only two possible outcomes. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-each-of-your-time-steps-is-one-week-long-you-85895/
Chicago Style
Hull, John C. "If each of your time steps is one week long, you are not modeling the stock price terribly well over a one-week time period, because you are saying that there are only two possible outcomes." FixQuotes. January 16, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-each-of-your-time-steps-is-one-week-long-you-85895/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"If each of your time steps is one week long, you are not modeling the stock price terribly well over a one-week time period, because you are saying that there are only two possible outcomes." FixQuotes, 16 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-each-of-your-time-steps-is-one-week-long-you-85895/. Accessed 4 Mar. 2026.







