"If stock market experts were so expert, they would be buying stock, not selling advice"
About this Quote
The subtext is less “all experts are frauds” than “the market punishes certainty.” Real informational advantages are rare, fleeting, and hard to scale without evaporating. Selling advice, by contrast, scales beautifully: the marginal cost of one more subscriber is low, and the revenue is steady even when the predictions are not. Augustine’s cynicism is practical, not philosophical. He’s pointing at the asymmetry between outcomes and accountability: pundits can be wrong indefinitely, while investors eventually meet the scoreboard.
Context matters: Augustine is a longtime defense-and-aerospace executive and public administrator, a veteran of institutions where risk management and incentive design aren’t abstractions. That background gives the quip its corporate bite. It’s less a populist sneer at Wall Street than an engineer’s sanity check on the business model of expertise.
The punchline also anticipates today’s attention economy. “Expertise” becomes content; volatility becomes marketing; confidence becomes the commodity. Augustine’s advice is really about epistemic hygiene: trust the people whose incentives align with being right, and be suspicious when the main asset being traded is your belief.
Quote Details
| Topic | Investment |
|---|---|
| Source | Later attribution: If Ignorance Is Bliss, Why Aren't There More Happy People? (John Lloyd, John Mitchinson, 2009) modern compilationISBN: 9780307460677 · ID: clxksg4zcZkC
Evidence:
... If stock market experts were so expert , they would be buying stock , not selling advice . NORMAN R. AUGUSTINE J { Jokes } A serious and good philosophical work Investments 163. |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Augustine, Norman Ralph. (2026, February 22). If stock market experts were so expert, they would be buying stock, not selling advice. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-stock-market-experts-were-so-expert-they-would-100700/
Chicago Style
Augustine, Norman Ralph. "If stock market experts were so expert, they would be buying stock, not selling advice." FixQuotes. February 22, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-stock-market-experts-were-so-expert-they-would-100700/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"If stock market experts were so expert, they would be buying stock, not selling advice." FixQuotes, 22 Feb. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-stock-market-experts-were-so-expert-they-would-100700/. Accessed 2 Mar. 2026.




