"If the militarily most powerful - and least threatened - states need nuclear weapons for their security, how can one deny such security to countries that are truly insecure? The present nuclear policy is a recipe for proliferation. It is a policy for disaster"
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Rotblat’s question lands like a moral trap disguised as policy analysis: if the safest countries on Earth insist nuclear weapons are indispensable, what argument is left to keep them from everyone else? The line works because it forces the reader to confront the hypocrisy baked into the global nuclear order. Deterrence, in this framing, isn’t a neutral doctrine; it’s a privilege asserted by the already powerful, then denied to states whose insecurity is often real, not rhetorical.
The subtext is less “nuclear weapons are bad” than “your rules create the very outcome you fear.” Rotblat is pointing at the credibility gap at the heart of the Non-Proliferation Treaty era: nuclear states preach restraint while modernizing arsenals, reserving for themselves the right to threaten annihilation. That double standard isn’t just ethically suspect; it’s strategically self-defeating. When security is treated as a gated community, excluded states will try to pick the lock.
Context matters because Rotblat wasn’t a naive pacifist; he was a physicist who helped launch the nuclear age before renouncing its logic, later central to the Pugwash movement and awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. He’s speaking with an insider’s authority and a defector’s impatience. Calling current policy “a recipe for proliferation” is clinical language for a political indictment: the system incentivizes newcomers to seek the one weapon that guarantees attention, leverage, and, sometimes, regime survival. “Policy for disaster” isn’t melodrama; it’s a forecast based on incentives, not intentions.
The subtext is less “nuclear weapons are bad” than “your rules create the very outcome you fear.” Rotblat is pointing at the credibility gap at the heart of the Non-Proliferation Treaty era: nuclear states preach restraint while modernizing arsenals, reserving for themselves the right to threaten annihilation. That double standard isn’t just ethically suspect; it’s strategically self-defeating. When security is treated as a gated community, excluded states will try to pick the lock.
Context matters because Rotblat wasn’t a naive pacifist; he was a physicist who helped launch the nuclear age before renouncing its logic, later central to the Pugwash movement and awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. He’s speaking with an insider’s authority and a defector’s impatience. Calling current policy “a recipe for proliferation” is clinical language for a political indictment: the system incentivizes newcomers to seek the one weapon that guarantees attention, leverage, and, sometimes, regime survival. “Policy for disaster” isn’t melodrama; it’s a forecast based on incentives, not intentions.
Quote Details
| Topic | War |
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