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Daily Inspiration Quote by Paul Harvey

"If there is a 50-50 chance that something can go wrong, then 9 times out of ten it will"

About this Quote

A 50-50 chance turning into “9 times out of ten” is the kind of rhetorical rigging Paul Harvey loved: a folksy math error that tells the emotional truth his audience already suspects. As a radio journalist who built a career on wry moral parables and the velvet hammer of common sense, Harvey isn’t offering statistics. He’s performing a worldview: modern life is booby-trapped, institutions are fallible, and the little guy is right to feel braced for impact.

The exaggeration does two jobs at once. First, it mocks the tidy confidence of probability talk, the bureaucratic language of “acceptable risk” that always sounds reassuring until you’re the one eating the consequences. Second, it gives listeners permission to trust their lived experience over official optimism. When systems fail, they rarely fail evenly; they fail where attention is lowest and stakes are highest. So the line flatters a certain American pragmatism: the person who double-checks the latch, packs the spare, assumes the worst not because they’re cynical but because they’ve been burned.

There’s also a sly consolation hidden in the gloom. If misfortune is almost scripted, then your bad break isn’t purely personal incompetence; it’s the universe’s crooked bookkeeping. Harvey’s intent is less to depress than to bond. The joke turns anxiety into camaraderie, letting an audience laugh at the relentless sensation that the “maybe” in life so often arrives as “yep.”

Quote Details

TopicWitty One-Liners
Source
Later attribution: Management of Industrial Cleaning Technology and Processes (John Durkee, 2006) modern compilationISBN: 9780080464855 · ID: UGT7UagMKugC
Text match: 94.74%   Provider: Google Books
Evidence:
... Paul Harvey News , 1979 . 26 us more than the cost of doing it. A belief. 4.2.8 Nature of Chance If there is a 50-50 chance that something can go wrong , then 9 times out of ten it will.25 Chance is what's left after human effort to ...
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Citation Formats

APA Style (7th ed.)
Harvey, Paul. (2026, February 10). If there is a 50-50 chance that something can go wrong, then 9 times out of ten it will. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-there-is-a-50-50-chance-that-something-can-go-65428/

Chicago Style
Harvey, Paul. "If there is a 50-50 chance that something can go wrong, then 9 times out of ten it will." FixQuotes. February 10, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-there-is-a-50-50-chance-that-something-can-go-65428/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"If there is a 50-50 chance that something can go wrong, then 9 times out of ten it will." FixQuotes, 10 Feb. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/if-there-is-a-50-50-chance-that-something-can-go-65428/. Accessed 25 Feb. 2026.

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About the Author

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Paul Harvey (September 4, 1918 - February 28, 2009) was a Journalist from USA.

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