"If we attempt to block the development of new technology, we effectively have ensured that the most responsible parties will not develop them"
About this Quote
Merkle is making a deliberately uncomfortable point: “responsibility” is not evenly distributed, and bans don’t land on everyone equally. The line works because it flips the usual safety instinct on its head. Blocking technology feels like prudence, but Merkle frames it as a selection mechanism: the people most likely to build with guardrails, publish openly, and accept scrutiny are the ones most constrained by law, norms, and reputation. The actors least interested in oversight - black markets, rogue states, private groups operating outside institutions - don’t disappear; they just inherit the playing field.
The subtext is a critique of moral theater in tech policy. Prohibition can signal virtue while quietly increasing risk, because it drives development into less transparent environments where accidents, coercion, and weaponization are harder to detect. Merkle’s phrasing “effectively have ensured” is doing heavy lifting: it suggests that a well-meaning block isn’t neutral; it actively engineers the worst possible R&D demographics.
Context matters: Merkle’s career sits in the long arc from cryptography battles (where export controls and secrecy repeatedly failed) to today’s debates over AI capability limits, biotech, and dual-use research. He’s channeling a scientist’s bias toward diffusion: knowledge leaks, incentives persist, and the question is rarely “can this be built?” but “who gets there first, and under what norms?” It’s not a blank check for acceleration; it’s a warning that blunt restraints can outsource the future to the least accountable builders.
The subtext is a critique of moral theater in tech policy. Prohibition can signal virtue while quietly increasing risk, because it drives development into less transparent environments where accidents, coercion, and weaponization are harder to detect. Merkle’s phrasing “effectively have ensured” is doing heavy lifting: it suggests that a well-meaning block isn’t neutral; it actively engineers the worst possible R&D demographics.
Context matters: Merkle’s career sits in the long arc from cryptography battles (where export controls and secrecy repeatedly failed) to today’s debates over AI capability limits, biotech, and dual-use research. He’s channeling a scientist’s bias toward diffusion: knowledge leaks, incentives persist, and the question is rarely “can this be built?” but “who gets there first, and under what norms?” It’s not a blank check for acceleration; it’s a warning that blunt restraints can outsource the future to the least accountable builders.
Quote Details
| Topic | Technology |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
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