"I'm against fashionable thinking"
About this Quote
"I'm against fashionable thinking" lands like a slap at the cocktail-party consensus, especially coming from Herman Kahn, the Cold War futurist who made a career out of asking the questions polite society wanted buried. The line isn’t just anti-trend; it’s anti-comfort. "Fashionable" is doing the real work here: it implies that ideas, like clothes, get adopted for social signaling rather than truth. Kahn is attacking the way institutions reward the appearance of moral and intellectual correctness over the messy labor of being right.
The intent is also self-defensive. Kahn’s reputation (nuclear strategy, scenario planning, worst-case thinking) made him an easy target for caricature: the technocrat who treats catastrophe as an optimization problem. By rejecting "fashion", he positions himself as someone willing to be unpopular, even grotesque, in service of analysis. It’s a bid for credibility that turns disdain into a virtue.
Subtext: beware consensus that arrives too quickly. In Kahn’s world, shared assumptions can become fatal. If everyone in a government, lab, or newsroom is nodding along, that’s not harmony; it’s a risk factor. The phrase also needles academia and policy circles where dissent can be punished not with counterarguments but with raised eyebrows and career consequences.
Context matters: mid-century America was thick with ideological uniforms, from anti-communist certainties to later anti-nuclear pieties. Kahn is warning that the most dangerous errors are the ones that feel socially safe. His provocation isn’t to be contrarian for sport, but to treat popularity as a poor proxy for reality.
The intent is also self-defensive. Kahn’s reputation (nuclear strategy, scenario planning, worst-case thinking) made him an easy target for caricature: the technocrat who treats catastrophe as an optimization problem. By rejecting "fashion", he positions himself as someone willing to be unpopular, even grotesque, in service of analysis. It’s a bid for credibility that turns disdain into a virtue.
Subtext: beware consensus that arrives too quickly. In Kahn’s world, shared assumptions can become fatal. If everyone in a government, lab, or newsroom is nodding along, that’s not harmony; it’s a risk factor. The phrase also needles academia and policy circles where dissent can be punished not with counterarguments but with raised eyebrows and career consequences.
Context matters: mid-century America was thick with ideological uniforms, from anti-communist certainties to later anti-nuclear pieties. Kahn is warning that the most dangerous errors are the ones that feel socially safe. His provocation isn’t to be contrarian for sport, but to treat popularity as a poor proxy for reality.
Quote Details
| Topic | Reason & Logic |
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