"In the financial system we have today, with less risk concentrated in banks, the probability of systemic financial crises may be lower than in traditional bank-centered financial systems"
About this Quote
The subtext is where the tension lives. Risk hasn’t disappeared; it has migrated. By framing the shift as “less concentrated in banks,” Geithner implicitly nods to the growth of nonbank finance - shadow banking, asset managers, private credit, money market funds - without saying the quiet part out loud: dispersion can lower the odds of one catastrophic bank run while increasing the odds of smaller, harder-to-see failures cascading through markets. His hedge, “may be lower,” is doing heavy lifting. It’s a public servant’s way of conceding uncertainty in a system that rewards certainty right up until it collapses.
Context matters: Geithner, as Treasury Secretary in the Obama years, is defending a regulatory strategy premised on making big banks safer rather than shrinking finance’s footprint. The quote is persuasive because it offers a plausible mechanism (concentration breeds contagion) while keeping the moral temperature low. It’s not a critique of finance so much as a stabilization narrative: the architecture is different now, so panic should be, too.
Quote Details
| Topic | Money |
|---|---|
| Source | Verified source: Implications of Growth in Credit Derivatives for Financia... (Timothy Geithner, 2006)
Evidence: In the financial system we have today, with less risk concentrated in banks, the probability of systemic financial crises may be lower than in traditional bank-centered financial systems. (Speech text, paragraph beginning 'In the financial system we have today...' ; BIS reprint page 2 (PDF page 1)). The earliest primary-source publication I found is a speech by Timothy F. Geithner delivered on May 16, 2006, at the New York University Stern School of Business Third Credit Risk Conference in New York City. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York hosts the official speech text. A contemporaneous BIS reprint of the same speech also contains the quote and places it on page 2 of the BIS Review issue (PDF page 1 in the web transcript). This appears to be the original spoken and published source, rather than a later book or quote compilation. Other candidates (1) Uncertainty and Challenges in Contemporary Economic Behav... (Ercan Özen, Simon Grima, 2020) compilation95.2% ... In the financial system we have today , with less risk concentrated in banks , the probability of systemic financ... |
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Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Geithner, Timothy. (2026, March 6). In the financial system we have today, with less risk concentrated in banks, the probability of systemic financial crises may be lower than in traditional bank-centered financial systems. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/in-the-financial-system-we-have-today-with-less-166776/
Chicago Style
Geithner, Timothy. "In the financial system we have today, with less risk concentrated in banks, the probability of systemic financial crises may be lower than in traditional bank-centered financial systems." FixQuotes. March 6, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/in-the-financial-system-we-have-today-with-less-166776/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"In the financial system we have today, with less risk concentrated in banks, the probability of systemic financial crises may be lower than in traditional bank-centered financial systems." FixQuotes, 6 Mar. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/in-the-financial-system-we-have-today-with-less-166776/. Accessed 14 Mar. 2026.


