"Influenza is a serious disease. Kids die of influenza, both in Japan and the United States, and if you give a drug to people who are at risk of dying, there will be people who die who got the drug,... There is no signal the drug is doing it as opposed to the disease"
About this Quote
The key phrase is “people who are at risk of dying.” It’s doing quiet but heavy work. If the drug is given primarily to the sickest patients, then the post-treatment death count is guaranteed to look ugly. He’s preempting the classic mistake of confusing a treatment’s audience with a treatment’s effect. In modern terms, he’s arguing about confounding, selection bias, and the unfair optics of triage medicine without using any of that language.
“There is no signal” is the rhetorical hinge. It’s technocratic, almost clinical, signaling allegiance to evidence over anecdote. Subtext: regulators and the public should not demand moral certainty where only probabilistic inference is available. Contextually, this belongs to a recurring political problem: when leaders must defend public health decisions under conditions of fear, imperfect data, and media-ready tragedy. The intent isn’t to minimize death; it’s to prevent grief from being converted into a false indictment.
Quote Details
| Topic | Health |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Nelson, Robert. (2026, January 17). Influenza is a serious disease. Kids die of influenza, both in Japan and the United States, and if you give a drug to people who are at risk of dying, there will be people who die who got the drug,... There is no signal the drug is doing it as opposed to the disease. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/influenza-is-a-serious-disease-kids-die-of-81386/
Chicago Style
Nelson, Robert. "Influenza is a serious disease. Kids die of influenza, both in Japan and the United States, and if you give a drug to people who are at risk of dying, there will be people who die who got the drug,... There is no signal the drug is doing it as opposed to the disease." FixQuotes. January 17, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/influenza-is-a-serious-disease-kids-die-of-81386/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"Influenza is a serious disease. Kids die of influenza, both in Japan and the United States, and if you give a drug to people who are at risk of dying, there will be people who die who got the drug,... There is no signal the drug is doing it as opposed to the disease." FixQuotes, 17 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/influenza-is-a-serious-disease-kids-die-of-81386/. Accessed 8 Mar. 2026.


