"Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas"
About this Quote
Samuelson’s line lands because it insults two tribes at once: the thrill-seeker who wants markets to entertain him, and the industry happy to sell that fantasy at a premium. “Watching paint dry” isn’t just a folksy metaphor; it’s a deliberate affront to the idea that good investing should feel like skillful action. He’s flattening the ego. In his view, the best investing behavior is deliberately boring because the edge comes from patience, diversification, and resisting the churn that makes brokers and TV pundits indispensable.
The $800 to Las Vegas is a neat piece of moral accounting. If you crave adrenaline, at least be honest about what you’re buying: entertainment with negative expected value. Calling it “Las Vegas” rather than “a casino” matters, too. Vegas is a whole culture of permission slips: lights, narratives, the illusion of control. Samuelson is suggesting that when investors chase “excitement” through hot tips, day trades, or concentrated bets, they’re essentially importing casino psychology into a domain where the house edge is subtler: fees, taxes, and the fact that professional competition makes easy wins rare.
Contextually, Samuelson helped popularize the logic behind efficient markets and indexing: most active attempts to beat the market are a tax on overconfidence. The quip works because it reframes discipline as sophistication. Boredom isn’t a failure of imagination; it’s a strategy for not paying for your own impulses.
The $800 to Las Vegas is a neat piece of moral accounting. If you crave adrenaline, at least be honest about what you’re buying: entertainment with negative expected value. Calling it “Las Vegas” rather than “a casino” matters, too. Vegas is a whole culture of permission slips: lights, narratives, the illusion of control. Samuelson is suggesting that when investors chase “excitement” through hot tips, day trades, or concentrated bets, they’re essentially importing casino psychology into a domain where the house edge is subtler: fees, taxes, and the fact that professional competition makes easy wins rare.
Contextually, Samuelson helped popularize the logic behind efficient markets and indexing: most active attempts to beat the market are a tax on overconfidence. The quip works because it reframes discipline as sophistication. Boredom isn’t a failure of imagination; it’s a strategy for not paying for your own impulses.
Quote Details
| Topic | Investment |
|---|---|
| Source | Paul Samuelson — quotation listed on Wikiquote (Paul Samuelson): "Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas." |
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