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Daily Inspiration Quote by Henri Poincare

"It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all"

About this Quote

Poincare is giving you permission to be wrong, as long as you’re wrong in the service of looking ahead. Coming from a mathematician who helped formalize chaos and lived at the border between neat equations and unruly reality, the line reads less like a fortune cookie and more like a practical ethic: prediction is not a parlor trick; it’s a way of organizing action under uncertainty.

The key move is the phrase “even without certainty.” In mathematics, certainty is the prized end state. In science and public life, it’s often a luxury. Poincare is quietly puncturing the vanity of waiting for perfect information. The subtext: refusing to forecast is not neutrality, it’s a choice to be surprised. “Not to foresee at all” is framed as the real failure, not the error bars inside a forecast.

Historically, this tracks with late-19th-century confidence in scientific progress colliding with the discovery that many systems (weather, three-body orbits, economies) are exquisitely sensitive to initial conditions. Poincare didn’t just study predictability; he mapped its limits. That gives the quote its bite: he isn’t celebrating naive certainty, he’s defending provisional models, educated guesses, and scenario thinking as honest tools.

It also works rhetorically because it flips the moral hierarchy. Accuracy isn’t the only virtue; preparedness is. Forecasting becomes a discipline of humility: you look ahead, admit you might be off, and act anyway. In an era addicted to “proof” before policy, Poincare’s challenge lands sharply.

Quote Details

TopicVision & Strategy
Source
Verified source: Science and Hypothesis (Henri Poincare, 1902)
Text match: 100.00%   Provider: Cross-Reference
Evidence:
It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all. (Chapter IX, "Hypotheses in Physics" (English translation: p. 130 of 1913 Halsted authorized translation in The Foundations of Science)). Verified in Henri Poincaré’s own text in the authorized English translation by George Bruce Halsted, included in *The Foundations of Science* (The Science Press, 1913). In that volume the sentence appears in the section corresponding to *Science and Hypothesis*, Part IV (Nature), Chapter IX (“Hypotheses in Physics”), ending on the printed page marked [Pg 130]. The earliest appearance is in Poincaré’s original French book *La science et l’hypothèse* (published 1902; commonly listed as Flammarion, Paris). The Gutenberg URL provided is a scan-derived public-domain edition of the 1913 authorized translation, not a quote-collection secondary source. ([gutenberg.org](https://www.gutenberg.org/ebooks/39713.html.images))
Other candidates (1)
The Foundations of Science (Henri Poincaré, 2010) compilation95.0%
Henri Poincaré. it will not pass through these points themselves . Thus one does not restrict himself to ... It is fa...
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Citation Formats

APA Style (7th ed.)
Poincare, Henri. (2026, March 1). It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/it-is-far-better-to-foresee-even-without-9894/

Chicago Style
Poincare, Henri. "It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all." FixQuotes. March 1, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/it-is-far-better-to-foresee-even-without-9894/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all." FixQuotes, 1 Mar. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/it-is-far-better-to-foresee-even-without-9894/. Accessed 6 Mar. 2026.

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About the Author

Henri Poincare

Henri Poincare (April 29, 1854 - July 17, 1912) was a Mathematician from France.

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