"It is, I claim, nonsense to say that it does not matter which individual man acted as the nucleus for the change. It is precisely this that makes history unpredictable into the future"
About this Quote
The subtext is a systems thinker’s warning against retrospective arrogance. After a revolution, we love to say someone would have done it anyway, as if history had backup actors waiting in the wings. Bateson argues that contingency is structural, not decorative: the specific quirks, relationships, timing, and cognition of a particular person can couple with a larger environment and produce a unique cascade. Swap the “individual man” and you don’t just change the protagonist; you change the feedback loops.
Context matters: Bateson spent his career studying patterns of communication, ecology, and cybernetics, fields that treat outcomes as emergent and nonlinear. In that worldview, tiny differences at the right point in a network can magnify into irreversible trajectories. The line about unpredictability is the punch: he’s defending human agency without romanticizing it, insisting that the future stays open precisely because systems hinge on particular nodes, not faceless averages.
Quote Details
| Topic | Free Will & Fate |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Bateson, Gregory. (2026, January 15). It is, I claim, nonsense to say that it does not matter which individual man acted as the nucleus for the change. It is precisely this that makes history unpredictable into the future. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/it-is-i-claim-nonsense-to-say-that-it-does-not-146336/
Chicago Style
Bateson, Gregory. "It is, I claim, nonsense to say that it does not matter which individual man acted as the nucleus for the change. It is precisely this that makes history unpredictable into the future." FixQuotes. January 15, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/it-is-i-claim-nonsense-to-say-that-it-does-not-146336/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"It is, I claim, nonsense to say that it does not matter which individual man acted as the nucleus for the change. It is precisely this that makes history unpredictable into the future." FixQuotes, 15 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/it-is-i-claim-nonsense-to-say-that-it-does-not-146336/. Accessed 18 Feb. 2026.









