"It used to be said that when the U.S. sneezed, the world caught a cold. The opposite is equally true today"
About this Quote
The line lands because it hijacks a familiar proverb about American dominance, then flips it with the breezy confidence of someone used to speaking in macroeconomic shorthand. For decades, the sneeze-and-cold metaphor captured a unidirectional world: U.S. demand, interest rates, and financial panic set the tempo for everyone else. Summers keeps the image but reverses the airflow, signaling that the old story of U.S. insulation is over.
The intent is partly diagnostic, partly political. As an economist who has lived through the Asian financial crisis, the 2008 meltdown, and the long argument about globalization’s winners, Summers is reminding a U.S. audience that vulnerability is now structural. Supply chains, capital markets, pandemics, and energy shocks don’t respect borders; neither does inflation imported through commodities or disinflation exported by foreign slowdowns. When China’s growth stalls, Europe lurches into crisis, or emerging markets wobble under dollar-denominated debt, the United States doesn’t just observe - it absorbs.
The subtext is a rebuke to American exceptionalism, especially the policy reflex that treats “the global economy” as an externality. If the world can give the U.S. a cold, then U.S. policymakers can’t afford to treat international coordination, development stability, or financial plumbing as charity work. The metaphor also smuggles in a warning: contagion is fast, nonlinear, and often misread until it’s too late. In a tightly coupled system, arrogance isn’t just unattractive; it’s a risk factor.
The intent is partly diagnostic, partly political. As an economist who has lived through the Asian financial crisis, the 2008 meltdown, and the long argument about globalization’s winners, Summers is reminding a U.S. audience that vulnerability is now structural. Supply chains, capital markets, pandemics, and energy shocks don’t respect borders; neither does inflation imported through commodities or disinflation exported by foreign slowdowns. When China’s growth stalls, Europe lurches into crisis, or emerging markets wobble under dollar-denominated debt, the United States doesn’t just observe - it absorbs.
The subtext is a rebuke to American exceptionalism, especially the policy reflex that treats “the global economy” as an externality. If the world can give the U.S. a cold, then U.S. policymakers can’t afford to treat international coordination, development stability, or financial plumbing as charity work. The metaphor also smuggles in a warning: contagion is fast, nonlinear, and often misread until it’s too late. In a tightly coupled system, arrogance isn’t just unattractive; it’s a risk factor.
Quote Details
| Topic | Wisdom |
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