"Many intelligence reports in war are contradictory; even more are false, and most are uncertain"
About this Quote
The line works because it’s structured like a tightening vise: contradictory, then false, then uncertain. He’s not claiming most reports are lies; he’s saying most are unusable. Contradiction can be honest (two scouts see two different things). Falsehood can be accidental (misread signals, rumor, wishful interpretation). Uncertainty is the default setting because war is a living system: the enemy adapts, terrain misleads, exhausted messengers garble, and leadership hears what it wants to hear. Clausewitz is diagnosing not only the chaos “out there,” but the psychology “in here” - the staff room, the chain of command, the sovereign’s ear.
The subtext is a critique of armchair rationalism: the fantasy that war can be reduced to calculation if you just collect enough data. His target is the bureaucratic instinct to treat reports like ledger entries. In context, this is part of his broader argument that successful commanders cultivate judgment under pressure - a kind of trained skepticism paired with decisiveness. Not cynicism for its own sake, but disciplined doubt: the ability to act without the comfort of certainty, and to know that the map you’re handed is already outdated.
Quote Details
| Topic | War |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Clausewitz, Karl Von. (2026, January 17). Many intelligence reports in war are contradictory; even more are false, and most are uncertain. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/many-intelligence-reports-in-war-are-32291/
Chicago Style
Clausewitz, Karl Von. "Many intelligence reports in war are contradictory; even more are false, and most are uncertain." FixQuotes. January 17, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/many-intelligence-reports-in-war-are-32291/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"Many intelligence reports in war are contradictory; even more are false, and most are uncertain." FixQuotes, 17 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/many-intelligence-reports-in-war-are-32291/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.






