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Science Quote by Niels Bohr

"Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future"

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Bohr’s line lands like a deadpan pratfall from a man whose job description was, essentially, “explain the future of matter.” The joke hinges on a tautology: of course prediction is about the future. By stating the obvious, he exposes the arrogance hidden inside our confidence. It’s not just that forecasting is hard; it’s that we routinely forget what we’re doing when we forecast at all: translating messy reality into a tidy story that can survive contact with tomorrow.

Coming from a physicist who helped found quantum mechanics, the subtext sharpens. Bohr lived in a world where certainty had to be renegotiated at the atomic level, where observation changes what’s observed, and where probability is not a temporary placeholder for ignorance but a basic feature of the system. So the quip isn’t anti-intellectual; it’s anti-overreach. It mocks the human impulse to treat models as mirrors rather than tools.

The line also works because it hits beyond physics. “Prediction” is the modern fetish: markets, elections, product launches, pandemics. We dress guesses up in dashboards and confidence intervals, then act surprised when reality behaves like reality. Bohr’s humor is a warning label: humility is not a personality trait, it’s an operating system. If even the people who measure the universe for a living are wary of the future, everyone else should be too.

Quote Details

TopicWisdom
Source
Later attribution: Making Sense of Chaos (J. Doyne Farmer, 2024) modern compilationISBN: 9780241201985 · ID: ZyvNEAAAQBAJ
Text match: 95.00%   Provider: Google Books
Evidence:
... Niels Bohr is said to have declared that ' prediction is very difficult , especially if it's about the future ' . This remark seems ironic ; aren't all predictions about the future ? Actually , no , not at all . Consider Boyle's Law ...
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Niels Bohr (Niels Bohr) compilation36.3%
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Niels Bohr

Niels Bohr (October 7, 1885 - November 18, 1962) was a Physicist from Denmark.

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