"Statistics are no substitute for judgment"
About this Quote
The subtext is accountability. Judgment is not mere intuition; it’s the practiced ability to weigh competing goods, foresee second-order effects, and accept blame when tradeoffs hurt. In Clay’s era, the nation’s biggest questions - tariffs, banking, internal improvements, slavery’s expansion - could be dressed up in ledgers and revenue projections, but the stakes were always civic: whose livelihoods count, which regions get favored, what kind of union this becomes. Statistics might clarify the terrain, but they can’t decide what should be done.
Rhetorically, the sentence is stripped down and categorical, the kind of maxim that travels well across committee rooms and campaign trails. It also flatters the listener’s self-image: you, responsible citizen or statesman, are called to the harder task than “running the numbers.” Clay is carving out a space where human deliberation remains sovereign - a message that reads less like anti-data sentiment than a demand that leaders stop pretending neutrality is the same as wisdom.
Quote Details
| Topic | Decision-Making |
|---|---|
| Source | Later attribution: Introduction to Statistics (Howard M. Reid, 2013) modern compilationISBN: 9781483324289 · ID: Y04XBAAAQBAJ
Evidence:
... Statistics are no substitute for judgment. —Henry Clay Like any powerful tool, statistical analysis must be used intelligently. While statistics is based on samples, we are usually interested in generalizing from the sample to a ... |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Clay, Henry. (2026, February 8). Statistics are no substitute for judgment. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/statistics-are-no-substitute-for-judgment-15506/
Chicago Style
Clay, Henry. "Statistics are no substitute for judgment." FixQuotes. February 8, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/statistics-are-no-substitute-for-judgment-15506/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"Statistics are no substitute for judgment." FixQuotes, 8 Feb. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/statistics-are-no-substitute-for-judgment-15506/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.







