"Temerity is not always successful"
About this Quote
A warning dressed up as a compliment: Livy’s “Temerity is not always successful” needles the Roman temptation to confuse nerve with virtue. Temerity isn’t courage; it’s courage’s reckless cousin, the impulse that feels heroic in the moment because it’s loud, fast, and contemptuous of caution. Livy’s shrewd move is the qualifier “not always.” He doesn’t deny that audacity can win - Rome’s own origin story is basically a hymn to boldness - but he refuses to let a few spectacular victories turn rashness into a policy.
The line works because it targets a cognitive bias that empires, armies, and ambitious men are especially prone to: survivors write the memoirs. We remember the impossible charge that broke the enemy and forget the identical charge that turned into a mass grave. Livy, as a historian writing under Augustus, is acutely sensitive to that selective memory. Rome has just staggered out of civil wars fueled by overconfident strongmen who treated risk as destiny. Under a new regime selling stability as moral renewal, he can’t simply preach obedience; instead he offers a cooler Roman lesson: fortuna favors the daring until it doesn’t.
Subtextually, it’s an argument for prudence without sounding like timidity. The sting is in the implied rebuke: if your plan requires “temerity,” you’re already gambling with other people’s lives. Livy’s understated skepticism is the point - it’s the historian’s version of a raised eyebrow, reminding a glory-addicted culture that boldness isn’t a strategy, it’s a mood.
The line works because it targets a cognitive bias that empires, armies, and ambitious men are especially prone to: survivors write the memoirs. We remember the impossible charge that broke the enemy and forget the identical charge that turned into a mass grave. Livy, as a historian writing under Augustus, is acutely sensitive to that selective memory. Rome has just staggered out of civil wars fueled by overconfident strongmen who treated risk as destiny. Under a new regime selling stability as moral renewal, he can’t simply preach obedience; instead he offers a cooler Roman lesson: fortuna favors the daring until it doesn’t.
Subtextually, it’s an argument for prudence without sounding like timidity. The sting is in the implied rebuke: if your plan requires “temerity,” you’re already gambling with other people’s lives. Livy’s understated skepticism is the point - it’s the historian’s version of a raised eyebrow, reminding a glory-addicted culture that boldness isn’t a strategy, it’s a mood.
Quote Details
| Topic | Wisdom |
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