"The mind cannot foresee its own advance"
About this Quote
The intent is polemical, aimed at the mid-century confidence of technocrats and central planners. In Hayek’s intellectual universe - shaped by debates over socialism, calculation, and the limits of knowledge - progress isn’t a straight line you can schedule. It’s emergent: markets, norms, and institutions evolve through dispersed trial and error, with information scattered across millions of lives. That’s why the “advance” can’t be foreseen: its ingredients are local, tacit, and often only legible after the fact.
Subtext: humility is not a personal virtue but a policy requirement. If minds can’t anticipate their own breakthroughs, then governments, committees, and experts can’t credibly claim omniscience about economic development, innovation, or social change. The line also protects liberalism from its own propaganda. It’s not “trust the market because it’s moral,” but “accept the market because prediction is hard in principle.”
Read today, it doubles as a diagnosis of our algorithmic age: even with data and models, the next genuine shift is the one your framework can’t yet name.
Quote Details
| Topic | Wisdom |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Hayek, Friedrich August von. (2026, January 18). The mind cannot foresee its own advance. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-mind-cannot-foresee-its-own-advance-22676/
Chicago Style
Hayek, Friedrich August von. "The mind cannot foresee its own advance." FixQuotes. January 18, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-mind-cannot-foresee-its-own-advance-22676/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"The mind cannot foresee its own advance." FixQuotes, 18 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-mind-cannot-foresee-its-own-advance-22676/. Accessed 13 Feb. 2026.









