Skip to main content

Life & Wisdom Quote by Michael Shermer

"The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out"

About this Quote

Shermer is making the quiet case for humility by way of arithmetic. The line sounds bloodless, but it’s really a cultural argument about how knowledge gets made: not by lone geniuses having flawless thoughts, but by messy collectives whose imperfections statistically wash out. He’s invoking the logic behind the “wisdom of crowds” and, more broadly, the skeptical tradition he’s known for: trust processes that punish self-deception, not personalities that perform certainty.

The phrasing does a lot of work. “Individual errors” treats mistakes as normal, distributed, almost mechanical - not moral failures. That’s a rebuke to the contemporary obsession with being “right” in public. Shermer’s subtext is that we should prefer systems where wrongness is expected and absorbed: peer review, prediction markets, transparent datasets, adversarial debate. The ideal group here isn’t a vibe-y consensus; it’s a properly structured crowd where biases aren’t correlated. Because if everyone shares the same blind spot, errors don’t cancel - they compound.

Context matters: Shermer has spent decades arguing against pseudoscience and conspiracy thinking, where the seduction is exactly the opposite of this quote. Those communities prize the solitary “seer” who claims access to hidden truth, insulated from correction. Shermer’s sentence is a pressure-release valve: reality is hard, so outsource some of your certainty to a method, a sample size, a room full of disagreeing people. It’s not romantic. It’s how we avoid fooling ourselves.

Quote Details

TopicDecision-Making
SourceHelp us find the source
Cite

Citation Formats

APA Style (7th ed.)
Shermer, Michael. (2026, January 16). The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-reason-is-that-in-a-group-individual-errors-99991/

Chicago Style
Shermer, Michael. "The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out." FixQuotes. January 16, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-reason-is-that-in-a-group-individual-errors-99991/.

MLA Style (9th ed.)
"The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out." FixQuotes, 16 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-reason-is-that-in-a-group-individual-errors-99991/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.

More Quotes by Michael Add to List
Wisdom of Crowds: Why Aggregation Improves Accuracy
Click to enlarge Portrait | Landscape

About the Author

USA Flag

Michael Shermer (born September 8, 1954) is a Writer from USA.

22 more quotes available

View Profile

Similar Quotes

Henri Poincare, Mathematician
Henri Poincare
Hosea Ballou, Clergyman