"The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out"
About this Quote
The phrasing does a lot of work. “Individual errors” treats mistakes as normal, distributed, almost mechanical - not moral failures. That’s a rebuke to the contemporary obsession with being “right” in public. Shermer’s subtext is that we should prefer systems where wrongness is expected and absorbed: peer review, prediction markets, transparent datasets, adversarial debate. The ideal group here isn’t a vibe-y consensus; it’s a properly structured crowd where biases aren’t correlated. Because if everyone shares the same blind spot, errors don’t cancel - they compound.
Context matters: Shermer has spent decades arguing against pseudoscience and conspiracy thinking, where the seduction is exactly the opposite of this quote. Those communities prize the solitary “seer” who claims access to hidden truth, insulated from correction. Shermer’s sentence is a pressure-release valve: reality is hard, so outsource some of your certainty to a method, a sample size, a room full of disagreeing people. It’s not romantic. It’s how we avoid fooling ourselves.
Quote Details
| Topic | Decision-Making |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Shermer, Michael. (2026, January 16). The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-reason-is-that-in-a-group-individual-errors-99991/
Chicago Style
Shermer, Michael. "The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out." FixQuotes. January 16, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-reason-is-that-in-a-group-individual-errors-99991/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"The reason is that in a group, individual errors on either side of the true figure cancel each other out." FixQuotes, 16 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-reason-is-that-in-a-group-individual-errors-99991/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.










