"The root of all superstition is that men observe when a thing hits, but not when it misses"
About this Quote
The line’s force comes from its proto-scientific posture. Bacon isn’t mocking credulity as mere stupidity; he’s diagnosing a mechanism. Superstition isn’t an exotic glitch in some backward brain. It’s the default setting of observation without method. The subtext is ruthless: if you don’t discipline attention, you will manufacture evidence for whatever you want to believe. That includes omens, prophecies, lucky charms, even the “I knew it” satisfaction of hindsight.
Context matters. Writing at the dawn of the scientific revolution, Bacon is arguing for a new way of knowing: systematic experiment, careful record-keeping, and skepticism toward anecdote. His complaint anticipates what we now call confirmation bias and survivorship bias, centuries before psychology put names on them. It’s also a political jab at an era thick with astrology, religious portents, and courtly rumor, where a single coincidence could harden into policy or panic.
Bacon’s intent is reformist: not to sneer at believers, but to re-engineer belief itself, shifting authority from memorable stories to reproducible results.
Quote Details
| Topic | Reason & Logic |
|---|---|
| Source | Francis Bacon — essay "Of Superstition" in The Essays (Bacon's collected Essays contains the passage commonly rendered as provided). |
| Cite | Cite this Quote |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Bacon, Francis. (n.d.). The root of all superstition is that men observe when a thing hits, but not when it misses. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-root-of-all-superstition-is-that-men-observe-6654/
Chicago Style
Bacon, Francis. "The root of all superstition is that men observe when a thing hits, but not when it misses." FixQuotes. Accessed February 1, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-root-of-all-superstition-is-that-men-observe-6654/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"The root of all superstition is that men observe when a thing hits, but not when it misses." FixQuotes, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-root-of-all-superstition-is-that-men-observe-6654/. Accessed 1 Feb. 2026.









