"The world changed from having the determinism of a clock to having the contingency of a pinball machine"
About this Quote
The intent is partly corrective and partly cultural. In the wake of quantum mechanics, chaos theory, and the limits of measurement, physicists learned that prediction has ceilings that aren’t just practical but structural. Even when equations are exact, outcomes can hinge on tiny, untrackable differences. “Contingency” signals more than chance; it’s dependence on conditions, on history, on the particular shove the ball got a moment ago. You can model the table, but you can’t narrate the entire game in advance.
The subtext lands on human psychology: determinism offered moral and political reassurance, the sense that progress, markets, or empires followed an inevitable script. Pagels implies that script is a projection. The pinball metaphor also sneaks in an ethics of humility. You don’t control the machine; you respond, you adapt, you play within constraints. Coming from a physicist who wrote for broader audiences, it’s a sly warning against turning science into theology: modern physics doesn’t crown certainty, it institutionalizes doubt.
Quote Details
| Topic | Free Will & Fate |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Pagels, Heinz R. (2026, January 16). The world changed from having the determinism of a clock to having the contingency of a pinball machine. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-world-changed-from-having-the-determinism-of-130197/
Chicago Style
Pagels, Heinz R. "The world changed from having the determinism of a clock to having the contingency of a pinball machine." FixQuotes. January 16, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-world-changed-from-having-the-determinism-of-130197/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"The world changed from having the determinism of a clock to having the contingency of a pinball machine." FixQuotes, 16 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/the-world-changed-from-having-the-determinism-of-130197/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.




