"There is no bird flu in commercial stocks"
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A sentence like "There is no bird flu in commercial stocks" lands less as a scientific finding than as a tactical reassurance. Coming from Michael E. Mann, a climate scientist who understands how quickly technical claims become political weapons, the phrasing reads like crisis management in miniature: short, declarative, meant to be repeated on television without qualifiers. Its power is that it sounds definitive even as it quietly narrows the frame.
The key word is "commercial". It implies a boundary around what counts as relevant risk: not "in birds", not "in the supply chain", not "in workers", but in the inventory that moves through regulated, saleable channels. That’s a bureaucratic definition masquerading as a common-sense one. The subtext is a familiar modern bargain: trust the system because the system is audited. The intent isn’t to map uncertainty; it’s to stop a feedback loop of panic, misinformation, and market disruption.
It also reveals how public-facing science gets contorted by the need to be legible. A more technically honest version would be conditional and time-stamped: "No evidence at present..". Mann’s bluntness trades epistemic humility for communicative force. In an era where "absence of evidence" gets misheard as "evidence of absence", the line risks becoming a screenshot-ready absolution. It’s the kind of statement designed to stabilize a moment, even if the longer story of surveillance, mutation, and lagging detection remains messier than the sentence allows.
The key word is "commercial". It implies a boundary around what counts as relevant risk: not "in birds", not "in the supply chain", not "in workers", but in the inventory that moves through regulated, saleable channels. That’s a bureaucratic definition masquerading as a common-sense one. The subtext is a familiar modern bargain: trust the system because the system is audited. The intent isn’t to map uncertainty; it’s to stop a feedback loop of panic, misinformation, and market disruption.
It also reveals how public-facing science gets contorted by the need to be legible. A more technically honest version would be conditional and time-stamped: "No evidence at present..". Mann’s bluntness trades epistemic humility for communicative force. In an era where "absence of evidence" gets misheard as "evidence of absence", the line risks becoming a screenshot-ready absolution. It’s the kind of statement designed to stabilize a moment, even if the longer story of surveillance, mutation, and lagging detection remains messier than the sentence allows.
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| Topic | Science |
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