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Education Quote by Thomas Paine

"War involves in its progress such a train of unforeseen circumstances that no human wisdom can calculate the end; it has but one thing certain, and that is to increase taxes"

About this Quote

Thomas Paine distills a hard political lesson: once war begins, it escapes design. Events multiply, alliances shift, passions flare, and the neat plans that justified the first shots dissolve into improvisation. Against that rolling uncertainty he places a single grim certainty: higher taxes. The line works as both prediction and indictment. War promises glory, security, or revenge; its most reliable delivery is a swollen tax bill for those with the least say in launching it.

The context is late 18th-century Britain and Europe, where continuous conflicts had produced a fiscal-military state. Britain’s debt exploded after the Seven Years War, prompting tax schemes in the American colonies that helped spark revolution. Paine, already famous for Common Sense, wrote Rights of Man to answer Edmund Burke and to expose how monarchy and patronage were sustained by perpetual war and the revenues it demanded. He argued that peacetime reform and social welfare could be financed by cutting the costly machinery of conflict. The contrast is moral as well as financial: elites declare wars; commoners pay, in blood first and then in taxes for generations.

His phrasing also rebukes the hubris of policymakers. If no human wisdom can calculate the end, then confident promises about short timetables and tidy outcomes are suspect. War’s unforeseen circumstances breed escalation, emergency powers, and durable bureaucracies. Debt incurred under the banner of necessity becomes a permanent fixture; taxes levied as temporary measures rarely disappear. Even where explicit taxes do not rise, inflation and deferred liabilities act as hidden levies.

Paine is not denying that wars can be just or necessary. He is demanding that citizens measure costs beyond the battlefield, and that leaders justify not only the first step but the likely chain of consequences. The rhetoric punctures romanticism with arithmetic, reminding democracies that the true invoice of war is paid long after the victory parade.

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TopicWar
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War involves in its progress such a train of unforeseen circumstances that no human wisdom can calculate the end it has
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Thomas Paine

Thomas Paine (January 29, 1737 - June 8, 1809) was a Writer from England.

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