Success Quote by Peter Drucker

Drucker’s provocation lands because it yanks the reader off the well-worn “information age” track and forces a harder question: what comes after the story we’re currently congratulating ourselves for living in? The sly hinge is that parenthetical backpedal - “or 90% probability” - which reads like a statistician crashing a prophet’s sermon. It’s a credibility move and a warning. He’s signaling that futurism is always partly bluff, but also that the bluff is useful if it dislodges lazy consensus.

The intent isn’t to deny that information matters; Drucker helped build the very vocabulary of “knowledge work.” The subtext is aimed at managers and policymakers who mistake a dominant input for an eternal destiny. When an era names itself after a resource, it starts investing like that resource is the whole game: more data, more systems, more dashboards, more “IT as strategy.” Drucker is implying that the next wave of value creation will come from constraints information can’t dissolve: biology, energy, materials, aging, climate, care, and the physical logistics of keeping societies functioning. Information becomes infrastructure, not the frontier.

Context matters: Drucker spent decades watching firms fetishize the last breakthrough until it calcified into bureaucracy. “New industries” in his mouth means not incremental upgrades to existing companies but category creation - businesses that reorganize daily life. The line is also a quiet rebuke to technological determinism. Innovation isn’t a straight line from faster computing to a better future; it’s a lurch toward whatever problem becomes expensive, urgent, and unavoidable once information is cheap.