"What hadn't been realized in the literature until now is that merely to describe how severely something has been tested in the past itself embodies inductive assumptions, even as a statement about the past"
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The subtext is an attack on a whole genre of reassurance: the argument-from-track-record. "It survived before" sounds like pure backward-looking fact, but it quietly presupposes stable categories (the same kind of shock, the same kind of system), stable measurement (comparable degrees of strain), and stable world-structure (the causal regularities that make past survival informative). That’s induction, dressed up as description.
Contextually, this fits Nozick’s broader project: puncturing overconfident epistemic habits while still respecting common sense. He’s not denying that past performance can matter; he’s denying that the appeal to it can be made without philosophical commitments. The sentence also carries a methodological warning to academics: even your supposedly modest claims about "what history shows" are theory-laden. The cleverness is that he shifts the battleground from prediction to narration. You don’t need to talk about the future to be doing induction; you only need to tell a certain kind of story about the past.
Quote Details
| Topic | Reason & Logic |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
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Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Nozick, Robert. (2026, January 15). What hadn't been realized in the literature until now is that merely to describe how severely something has been tested in the past itself embodies inductive assumptions, even as a statement about the past. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/what-hadnt-been-realized-in-the-literature-until-166549/
Chicago Style
Nozick, Robert. "What hadn't been realized in the literature until now is that merely to describe how severely something has been tested in the past itself embodies inductive assumptions, even as a statement about the past." FixQuotes. January 15, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/what-hadnt-been-realized-in-the-literature-until-166549/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"What hadn't been realized in the literature until now is that merely to describe how severely something has been tested in the past itself embodies inductive assumptions, even as a statement about the past." FixQuotes, 15 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/what-hadnt-been-realized-in-the-literature-until-166549/. Accessed 10 Feb. 2026.





