"Yet enthusiasm is no excuse for the historian going off balance. He should remind the reader that outcomes were neither inevitable nor foreordained, but subject to a thousand changes and chances"
About this Quote
The line works because it attacks hindsight as a psychological addiction. Once we know the ending, we smuggle necessity into every earlier scene: this reform “had to” happen, that empire “was bound” to fall, this war “was inevitable.” Morison insists the historian’s job is to reopen contingency, to restore the lived uncertainty of people who didn’t know what came next. “A thousand changes and chances” is deliberately tactile phrasing, a reminder that big forces never arrive unfiltered; they’re mediated by accidents, misjudgments, weather, illness, technology, personality, timing.
Context matters: Morison wrote in a century drenched in grand narratives - nationalism, Marxism, progress talk, postwar triumphalism - each eager to claim history as proof. His pushback isn’t anti-interpretation; it’s a demand for intellectual humility. The ethical subtext is clear: if outcomes aren’t foreordained, then responsibility doesn’t vanish into “historical necessity.” People chose, failed, panicked, improvised. A good historian honors that messiness, not because it makes the story less dramatic, but because it makes it truer - and keeps readers from mistaking inevitability for wisdom.
Quote Details
| Topic | Free Will & Fate |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
| Cite |
Citation Formats
APA Style (7th ed.)
Morison, Samuel E. (2026, January 16). Yet enthusiasm is no excuse for the historian going off balance. He should remind the reader that outcomes were neither inevitable nor foreordained, but subject to a thousand changes and chances. FixQuotes. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/yet-enthusiasm-is-no-excuse-for-the-historian-98700/
Chicago Style
Morison, Samuel E. "Yet enthusiasm is no excuse for the historian going off balance. He should remind the reader that outcomes were neither inevitable nor foreordained, but subject to a thousand changes and chances." FixQuotes. January 16, 2026. https://fixquotes.com/quotes/yet-enthusiasm-is-no-excuse-for-the-historian-98700/.
MLA Style (9th ed.)
"Yet enthusiasm is no excuse for the historian going off balance. He should remind the reader that outcomes were neither inevitable nor foreordained, but subject to a thousand changes and chances." FixQuotes, 16 Jan. 2026, https://fixquotes.com/quotes/yet-enthusiasm-is-no-excuse-for-the-historian-98700/. Accessed 12 Feb. 2026.






