"You can no longer buy commodities at Merrill Lynch. My guess is many analysts and even executives are too young to know how profitable a hot commodities market can be. They will soon"
About this Quote
Rogers lands the punch with a bland-sounding sentence that’s actually a dare: if a major Wall Street house has stopped letting clients buy commodities, it’s not prudence - it’s institutional amnesia. The line works because it flips the usual hierarchy. Merrill Lynch, the supposed adult in the room, is cast as the inexperienced party, while the grizzled commodities bull plays historian and prophet at once.
The subtext is generational and cyclical. “Too young to know” is less about age than about having been trained in a long era of disinflation, cheap money, and paper assets. If your career has been built on tech multiples and financial engineering, real-world scarcity can feel like a quaint relic. Rogers is implying that the firm’s risk models and cultural instincts were shaped by markets where commodities were a sideshow, not the main stage.
Contextually, this is a veteran investor diagnosing a regime change. Commodity booms don’t just lift oil or copper; they reorder power: producers over consumers, inflation hedges over growth stories, tangible inputs over abstractions. “You can no longer buy” hints at gatekeeping - a big bank deciding what clients are allowed to touch - and at capitulation, the kind of retreat institutions make right before they’re forced back in at worse prices.
The final fragment, “They will soon,” is classic Rogers: unfinished on purpose, a raised eyebrow instead of a forecast. It lets the reader complete the sentence: learn, remember, or pay.
The subtext is generational and cyclical. “Too young to know” is less about age than about having been trained in a long era of disinflation, cheap money, and paper assets. If your career has been built on tech multiples and financial engineering, real-world scarcity can feel like a quaint relic. Rogers is implying that the firm’s risk models and cultural instincts were shaped by markets where commodities were a sideshow, not the main stage.
Contextually, this is a veteran investor diagnosing a regime change. Commodity booms don’t just lift oil or copper; they reorder power: producers over consumers, inflation hedges over growth stories, tangible inputs over abstractions. “You can no longer buy” hints at gatekeeping - a big bank deciding what clients are allowed to touch - and at capitulation, the kind of retreat institutions make right before they’re forced back in at worse prices.
The final fragment, “They will soon,” is classic Rogers: unfinished on purpose, a raised eyebrow instead of a forecast. It lets the reader complete the sentence: learn, remember, or pay.
Quote Details
| Topic | Investment |
|---|---|
| Source | Help us find the source |
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