"You could argue that war is always an irrational act, and yet many states enter into military conflict out of rational calculation or national interest or the stability or longevity of their regime"
About this Quote
War gets labeled irrational because it looks like collective self-harm: bodies, budgets, legitimacy, all torched for uncertain gains. Kirby’s line needles that comforting moral clarity. He separates “irrational” as an ethical judgment from “rational” as a strategic method, insisting the two can coexist in the same decision. That’s the move: he reframes war not as a breakdown of reason but as reason deployed toward ends we may find appalling.
The intent is diagnostic, almost clinical. By stacking motives - “rational calculation,” “national interest,” “stability,” “longevity of their regime” - he shifts attention from battlefield passions to the colder logic of state survival. The subtext is that the scandal of war isn’t simply that leaders lose their heads; it’s that they often keep them. Regimes may calculate that a quick campaign will deter rivals, unify factions, distract from domestic unrest, or preempt threats. Even losing can be “rational” if the alternative is collapse.
Context matters: Kirby’s lifetime runs through the American and French Revolutions and the Napoleonic Wars, an era when “nation” and “regime” were being reinvented at gunpoint. As a scientist, he speaks in the register of systems and incentives, not sermons. That posture gives the quote its unsettling power: it denies us the easy story that peace would prevail if only leaders were more reasonable. Kirby’s suggestion is darker and more modern - war can be a logical output of political structures where rulers treat citizens as resources and conflict as a tool for continuity.
The intent is diagnostic, almost clinical. By stacking motives - “rational calculation,” “national interest,” “stability,” “longevity of their regime” - he shifts attention from battlefield passions to the colder logic of state survival. The subtext is that the scandal of war isn’t simply that leaders lose their heads; it’s that they often keep them. Regimes may calculate that a quick campaign will deter rivals, unify factions, distract from domestic unrest, or preempt threats. Even losing can be “rational” if the alternative is collapse.
Context matters: Kirby’s lifetime runs through the American and French Revolutions and the Napoleonic Wars, an era when “nation” and “regime” were being reinvented at gunpoint. As a scientist, he speaks in the register of systems and incentives, not sermons. That posture gives the quote its unsettling power: it denies us the easy story that peace would prevail if only leaders were more reasonable. Kirby’s suggestion is darker and more modern - war can be a logical output of political structures where rulers treat citizens as resources and conflict as a tool for continuity.
Quote Details
| Topic | War |
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