"But in fact, when you try to model that on a computer you find that because of the very structure of matter and of the chemical bonds that are the basis of every organism, evolution is not random at all. It will tend to follow certain paths"
About this Quote
Kelly’s provocation is to demote “randomness” from evolution’s starring role and recast it as a supporting actor. He’s not denying mutation or chance; he’s arguing that physics and chemistry quietly write the plot constraints. The punch of the line comes from its reversal: we’re trained to treat evolution as an almost lottery-like process, then he walks you into the machine room - chemical bonds, material structure, computation - and shows the guardrails.
The intent is characteristically Kevin Kelly: a systems editor’s attempt to make biological change legible in the language of networks, affordances, and technological inevitabilities. “When you try to model that on a computer” signals the real audience here: people who think in simulations, who trust what emerges when you formalize assumptions. The subtext is a bet that life is less a sequence of miracles than a set of attractors. Given carbon chemistry, certain complexification routes become more probable, even if the local steps wobble with contingency.
Context matters: Kelly’s broader project (from Wired to his books) is to blur the boundary between the biological and the technological, suggesting both are expressions of deeper, lawful tendencies in complex systems. That’s why “tend to follow certain paths” lands like cultural dynamite. It flatters our era’s appetite for predictability without claiming omniscience. It also quietly challenges a comforting story about human exceptionalism: if evolution has preferred corridors, then intelligence, tools, and maybe even “us” start to look less like cosmic accidents and more like repeatable outcomes under the right material rules.
The intent is characteristically Kevin Kelly: a systems editor’s attempt to make biological change legible in the language of networks, affordances, and technological inevitabilities. “When you try to model that on a computer” signals the real audience here: people who think in simulations, who trust what emerges when you formalize assumptions. The subtext is a bet that life is less a sequence of miracles than a set of attractors. Given carbon chemistry, certain complexification routes become more probable, even if the local steps wobble with contingency.
Context matters: Kelly’s broader project (from Wired to his books) is to blur the boundary between the biological and the technological, suggesting both are expressions of deeper, lawful tendencies in complex systems. That’s why “tend to follow certain paths” lands like cultural dynamite. It flatters our era’s appetite for predictability without claiming omniscience. It also quietly challenges a comforting story about human exceptionalism: if evolution has preferred corridors, then intelligence, tools, and maybe even “us” start to look less like cosmic accidents and more like repeatable outcomes under the right material rules.
Quote Details
| Topic | Science |
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