"Statistics are no substitute for judgment"
About this Quote
A line like this lands with the authority of someone who watched numbers get weaponized before spreadsheets made it effortless. Henry Clay, the consummate negotiator of an anxious young republic, isn’t dismissing evidence; he’s warning against the political temptation to outsource responsibility. “Statistics” here functions as a stand-in for any seemingly objective instrument that can be waved around to end an argument. Clay’s insistence that they’re “no substitute” is a rebuke to leaders who hide behind quantification when they should be making morally charged choices in full view.
The subtext is accountability. Judgment is not mere intuition; it’s the practiced ability to weigh competing goods, foresee second-order effects, and accept blame when tradeoffs hurt. In Clay’s era, the nation’s biggest questions - tariffs, banking, internal improvements, slavery’s expansion - could be dressed up in ledgers and revenue projections, but the stakes were always civic: whose livelihoods count, which regions get favored, what kind of union this becomes. Statistics might clarify the terrain, but they can’t decide what should be done.
Rhetorically, the sentence is stripped down and categorical, the kind of maxim that travels well across committee rooms and campaign trails. It also flatters the listener’s self-image: you, responsible citizen or statesman, are called to the harder task than “running the numbers.” Clay is carving out a space where human deliberation remains sovereign - a message that reads less like anti-data sentiment than a demand that leaders stop pretending neutrality is the same as wisdom.
The subtext is accountability. Judgment is not mere intuition; it’s the practiced ability to weigh competing goods, foresee second-order effects, and accept blame when tradeoffs hurt. In Clay’s era, the nation’s biggest questions - tariffs, banking, internal improvements, slavery’s expansion - could be dressed up in ledgers and revenue projections, but the stakes were always civic: whose livelihoods count, which regions get favored, what kind of union this becomes. Statistics might clarify the terrain, but they can’t decide what should be done.
Rhetorically, the sentence is stripped down and categorical, the kind of maxim that travels well across committee rooms and campaign trails. It also flatters the listener’s self-image: you, responsible citizen or statesman, are called to the harder task than “running the numbers.” Clay is carving out a space where human deliberation remains sovereign - a message that reads less like anti-data sentiment than a demand that leaders stop pretending neutrality is the same as wisdom.
Quote Details
| Topic | Decision-Making |
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