"The credit which the apparent conformity with recognized scientific standards can gain for seemingly simple but false theories may, as the present instance shows, have grave consequences"
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Hayek is warning that the aesthetics of science can be more politically dangerous than overt ideology. He is not attacking science; he is attacking scientism: the temptation to borrow the prestige of laboratory-style rigor and paste it onto social theories that are tidy, testable-looking, and wrong. The phrase "apparent conformity" does the real work here. It names a kind of intellectual counterfeit currency: models, metrics, and statistical polish that signal seriousness to gatekeepers while smuggling in assumptions that don’t survive contact with a complex, adaptive society.
The line lands because it flips a common bias. We tend to fear messy, passionate errors - demagoguery, superstition, naked propaganda. Hayek points at something cooler and more respectable: falsehoods that arrive wearing a lab coat. "Seemingly simple" is both a critique and a diagnosis. Simple theories are not merely attractive; they are administratively legible. They make societies look like machines with knobs to turn, which invites centralized control and punishes humility. The "credit" they gain isn’t earned by predictive power but by adherence to "recognized standards" - whatever a given moment treats as the markers of objectivity.
Contextually, this sits in Hayek’s broader argument (from the socialist calculation debate through The Counter-Revolution of Science) that social order emerges from dispersed knowledge and evolved institutions, not from expert optimization. The subtext is a moral one: when intellectual fashion mistakes formal method for truth, the casualty list is not academic. It is policy, freedom, and lives.
The line lands because it flips a common bias. We tend to fear messy, passionate errors - demagoguery, superstition, naked propaganda. Hayek points at something cooler and more respectable: falsehoods that arrive wearing a lab coat. "Seemingly simple" is both a critique and a diagnosis. Simple theories are not merely attractive; they are administratively legible. They make societies look like machines with knobs to turn, which invites centralized control and punishes humility. The "credit" they gain isn’t earned by predictive power but by adherence to "recognized standards" - whatever a given moment treats as the markers of objectivity.
Contextually, this sits in Hayek’s broader argument (from the socialist calculation debate through The Counter-Revolution of Science) that social order emerges from dispersed knowledge and evolved institutions, not from expert optimization. The subtext is a moral one: when intellectual fashion mistakes formal method for truth, the casualty list is not academic. It is policy, freedom, and lives.
Quote Details
| Topic | Truth |
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